CeeDee LamborRashee Rice?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb outscores Rashee Rice in 58% of simulations.
Rashee Rice still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so CeeDee Lamb is the better bet, not a sure thing. CeeDee Lamb projects 2.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Rashee Rice has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs); CeeDee Lamb faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% fewer than average to WRs). CeeDee Lamb still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 14.2
- Ceiling
- 27.8
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.8 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 19.2 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 12.4 | 10.5 |
| Rank this week | WR4 | WR6 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 58% |
| Trade value | 60 | 37 |