CeeDee LamborChristian Watson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb outscores Christian Watson in 57% of simulations.
Christian Watson still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so CeeDee Lamb is the better bet, not a sure thing. CeeDee Lamb projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: CeeDee Lamb faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to WRs), Christian Watson faces the New England Patriots (2% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, CeeDee Lamb wins 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.9 | 13.4 |
| PPR projection | 18.4 | 15.8 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 11.1 |
| Rank this week | WR4 | WR7 |
| Matchup | at IND | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.3 | 15.7 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 11.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 49% |
| Trade value | 41 | 31 |