CeeDee LamborJaxon Smith-Njigba?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Jaxon Smith-Njigba outscores CeeDee Lamb in 72% of simulations.
CeeDee Lamb still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 6.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Jaxon Smith-Njigba faces the Arizona Cardinals (4% more than average to WRs), CeeDee Lamb faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 10.6
- Median
- 20.2
- Ceiling
- 33.2
- Big game (20+):
- 51%
- Dud (under 6):
- 1%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR, SEA, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.9 | 21.3 |
| PPR projection | 18.4 | 25.2 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 17.4 |
| Rank this week | WR4 | WR1 |
| Matchup | at IND | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.3 | 23.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 17.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 97% |
| Trade value | 41 | 84 |