Malik NabersorRashee Rice?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Malik Nabers in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Malik Nabers comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Rashee Rice, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Malik Nabers projects 1.0 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Malik Nabers has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to WRs); Rashee Rice faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs). Rashee Rice still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.3 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | WR6 | WR8 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 11.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 57% |
| Trade value | 43 | 42 |