Malik NabersorTee Higgins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Tee Higgins
Tee Higgins outscores Malik Nabers in 60% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Tee Higgins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tee Higgins projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Malik Nabers has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (11% more than average to WRs); Tee Higgins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (1% more than average to WRs). Tee Higgins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 30.4
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.9 | 16.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.1 | 19.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.7 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | WR4 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.9 | 17.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 68% |
| Trade value | 36 | 63 |