Ja'Marr ChaseorRashee Rice?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Ja'Marr Chase
Ja'Marr Chase outscores Rashee Rice in 63% of simulations.
Rashee Rice still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Ja'Marr Chase is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ja'Marr Chase projects 4.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Ja'Marr Chase faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (2% more than average to WRs), Rashee Rice faces the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 16.8
- Ceiling
- 32.3
- Big game (20+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 18.5 | 13.6 |
| PPR projection | 22.4 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 14.6 | 10.5 |
| Rank this week | WR2 | WR6 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.6 | 10.7 |
| Last season per game | 15.7 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 58% |
| Trade value | 87 | 37 |