Ja'Marr ChaseorTee Higgins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Ja'Marr Chase
Ja'Marr Chase outscores Tee Higgins in 58% of simulations.
Tee Higgins still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Ja'Marr Chase is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ja'Marr Chase projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Ja'Marr Chase faces the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs), Tee Higgins faces the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Big game (20+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 15.0 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 10.2 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | WR11 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.4 | 14.7 |
| Last season per game | 15.7 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 20% | 79% |
| Trade value | 57 | 41 |