CeeDee LamborJa'Marr Chase?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Ja'Marr Chase
Ja'Marr Chase outscores CeeDee Lamb in 58% of simulations.
CeeDee Lamb still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Ja'Marr Chase is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ja'Marr Chase projects 2.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Ja'Marr Chase faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (2% more than average to WRs), CeeDee Lamb faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 14.2
- Ceiling
- 27.8
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 16.7
- Ceiling
- 32.3
- Big game (20+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.8 | 18.5 |
| PPR projection | 19.2 | 22.4 |
| Standard projection | 12.4 | 14.6 |
| Rank this week | WR5 | WR3 |
| Matchup | vs SF | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 16.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 15.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 84% |
| Trade value | 55 | 79 |