Christian WatsonorTee Higgins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Christian Watson
Christian Watson outscores Tee Higgins in 56% of simulations.
Tee Higgins still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Christian Watson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Christian Watson projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Christian Watson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3% fewer than average to WRs), Tee Higgins faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 10.9
- Ceiling
- 22.7
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.2 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 16.4 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 12.1 | 10.2 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | WR13 |
| Matchup | at TB | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.3 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 80% | 93% |
| Trade value | 40 | 25 |