Christian WatsonorTee Higgins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Tee Higgins
Tee Higgins outscores Christian Watson in 62% of simulations.
Christian Watson still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Tee Higgins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tee Higgins projects 3.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Tee Higgins has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (2% more than average to WRs); Christian Watson faces the Minnesota Vikings (23% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 30.4
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 16.3 |
| PPR projection | 14.9 | 19.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.7 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | WR3 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.9 | 17.0 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 68% |
| Trade value | 48 | 67 |