Christian WatsonorNico Collins?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Christian Watson
Christian Watson outscores Nico Collins in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Nico Collins comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Christian Watson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Christian Watson projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Christian Watson has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (2% more than average to WRs); Nico Collins faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 10.2
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.4 | 11.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.8 | 13.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | WR11 |
| Matchup | at NE | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.7 | 12.8 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | 12.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 67% |
| Trade value | 31 | 24 |