Christian WatsonorJa'Marr Chase?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Ja'Marr Chase
Ja'Marr Chase outscores Christian Watson in 62% of simulations.
Christian Watson still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Ja'Marr Chase is the better bet, not a sure thing. These are their next games: Christian Watson in Week 9, Ja'Marr Chase in Week 10. Ja'Marr Chase projects 4.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Ja'Marr Chase faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (2% more than average to WRs), Christian Watson faces the New England Patriots (2% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 6.6
- Median
- 15.7
- Ceiling
- 30.6
- Big game (20+):
- 34%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.4 | 17.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.8 | 21.1 |
| Standard projection | 11.1 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | Not ranked |
| Matchup | at NE | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.7 | 15.2 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | 15.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 96% |
| Trade value | 31 | 59 |