Bijan RobinsonorJa'Marr Chase?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Bijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson outscores Ja'Marr Chase in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ja'Marr Chase comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Bijan Robinson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 17.1 half-PPR points in Week 8. Ja'Marr Chase has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (14% more than average to WRs); Bijan Robinson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% fewer than average to RBs). Bijan Robinson still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Ja'Marr Chase is the pick at 53%; in Standard leagues, Bijan Robinson wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 15.8
- Ceiling
- 29.2
- Big game (20+):
- 33%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
- Floor
- 6.3
- Median
- 15.4
- Ceiling
- 30.3
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bijan RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ja'Marr ChaseWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.1 | 17.1 |
| PPR projection | 19.0 | 20.8 |
| Standard projection | 15.3 | 13.4 |
| Rank this week | RB3 | WR4 |
| Matchup | at TB | vs TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.0 | 13.5 |
| Last season per game | 19.5 | 15.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 87% |
| Trade value | 62 | 54 |