Bijan RobinsonorJosh Jacobs?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Bijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson outscores Josh Jacobs in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Josh Jacobs comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Bijan Robinson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bijan Robinson projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Josh Jacobs has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Bijan Robinson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% fewer than average to RBs). Bijan Robinson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 15.8
- Ceiling
- 29.2
- Big game (20+):
- 33%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 29.9
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bijan RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.1 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 19.0 | 18.5 |
| Standard projection | 15.3 | 15.4 |
| Rank this week | RB3 | RB4 |
| Matchup | at TB | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.0 | 17.6 |
| Last season per game | 19.5 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 52% |
| Trade value | 62 | 40 |