Jahmyr GibbsorJosh Jacobs?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
Jahmyr Gibbs outscores Josh Jacobs in 57% of simulations.
Josh Jacobs still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Jahmyr Gibbs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 3.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Josh Jacobs has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Jahmyr Gibbs faces the Minnesota Vikings (16% fewer than average to RBs). Jahmyr Gibbs still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.8
- Median
- 18.4
- Ceiling
- 36.4
- Big game (20+):
- 44%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 29.9
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jahmyr GibbsRB, DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 20.4 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 22.6 | 18.5 |
| Standard projection | 18.2 | 15.4 |
| Rank this week | RB1 | RB4 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 25.8 | 17.6 |
| Last season per game | 19.3 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 90% | 52% |
| Trade value | 100 | 40 |