Derrick HenryorJosh Jacobs?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs outscores Derrick Henry in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Derrick Henry comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Josh Jacobs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Josh Jacobs projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Josh Jacobs faces the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs), Derrick Henry faces the Buffalo Bills (17% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 14.6
- Ceiling
- 30.0
- Big game (20+):
- 31%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 29.9
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.5 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 17.1 | 18.5 |
| Standard projection | 15.8 | 15.4 |
| Rank this week | RB5 | RB4 |
| Matchup | at BUF | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.8 | 17.6 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 51% | 52% |
| Trade value | 40 | 40 |