Derrick HenryorJonathan Taylor?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor outscores Derrick Henry in 62% of simulations.
Derrick Henry still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Jonathan Taylor is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jonathan Taylor projects 3.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jonathan Taylor has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (12% more than average to RBs); Derrick Henry faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 14.8
- Ceiling
- 30.8
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.3 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 13.8 | 18.6 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 15.5 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | RB4 |
| Matchup | vs LAC | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.1 | 15.6 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 20.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 69% |
| Trade value | 32 | 49 |