Jaylen WarrenorJosh Jacobs?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren outscores Josh Jacobs in 56% of simulations.
Josh Jacobs still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Jaylen Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaylen Warren projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jaylen Warren has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs); Josh Jacobs faces the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 13.2
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.4 | 14.7 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 16.2 |
| Standard projection | 14.9 | 13.2 |
| Rank this week | RB6 | RB9 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.0 | 12.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 15% |
| Trade value | 49 | 48 |