Chuba HubbardorDerrick Henry?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chuba Hubbard
Chuba Hubbard outscores Derrick Henry in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Derrick Henry comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Chuba Hubbard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chuba Hubbard projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Chuba Hubbard has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (5% fewer than average to RBs); Derrick Henry faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (23% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chuba Hubbard wins 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.9
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 22.3
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 12.7 |
| PPR projection | 14.3 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB12 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.4 | 16.3 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 16.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 92% | 45% |
| Trade value | 28 | 36 |