Ashton JeantyorCam Skattebo?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Cam Skattebo

Cam Skattebo outscores Ashton Jeanty in 55% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Ashton Jeanty comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Cam Skattebo, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Cam Skattebo projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Cam Skattebo has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Ashton Jeanty faces the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Ashton Jeanty
Floor
4.2
Median
11.4
Ceiling
24.6
Big game (20+):
18%
Dud (under 6):
19%
Cam Skattebo
Floor
5.1
Median
12.5
Ceiling
23.3
Big game (20+):
18%
Dud (under 6):
14%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatAshton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ETCam SkatteboRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection13.013.7
PPR projection14.715.2
Standard projection11.312.2
Rank this weekRB11RB10
Matchupvs KCvs ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game16.311.0
Last season per game12.814.5
Snap share, last game84%77%
Trade value3124