Cam SkatteboorDerrick Henry?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry outscores Cam Skattebo in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Cam Skattebo comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Derrick Henry, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 12.7 half-PPR points in Week 9. Cam Skattebo has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs); Derrick Henry faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (23% fewer than average to RBs). Derrick Henry still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cam SkatteboRB, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| PPR projection | 13.9 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 11.6 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB14 | RB13 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.8 | 16.3 |
| Last season per game | 14.5 | 16.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 45% |
| Trade value | 22 | 36 |