Javonte WilliamsorRhamondre Stevenson?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 67% of simulations.

Rhamondre Stevenson still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so Javonte Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Javonte Williams projects 3.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the New York Jets (25% more than average to RBs); Javonte Williams faces the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs). Javonte Williams still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Javonte Williams
Floor
8.0
Median
15.8
Ceiling
28.7
Big game (20+):
32%
Dud (under 6):
4%
Rhamondre Stevenson
Floor
3.3
Median
10.8
Ceiling
25.4
Big game (20+):
19%
Dud (under 6):
24%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJavonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ETRhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection17.013.2
PPR projection18.514.8
Standard projection15.611.7
Rank this weekRB5RB9
Matchupat GBvs NYJ
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game17.510.7
Last season per game14.111.6
Snap share, last game85%71%
Trade value4820