Bucky IrvingorD'Andre Swift?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving outscores D'Andre Swift in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: D'Andre Swift comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Bucky Irving, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bucky Irving projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Bucky Irving faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (7% fewer than average to RBs), D'Andre Swift faces the Atlanta Falcons (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 22.6
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.2 | 13.1 |
| PPR projection | 14.5 | 14.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB11 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 14.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 13.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 58% |
| Trade value | 35 | 33 |