Ashton JeantyorD'Andre Swift?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Ashton Jeanty in 55% of simulations.
Ashton Jeanty still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so D'Andre Swift is the better bet, not a sure thing. D'Andre Swift projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Ashton Jeanty has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (2% more than average to RBs); D'Andre Swift faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13% fewer than average to RBs). D'Andre Swift still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 25.1
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.3 | 14.9 |
| PPR projection | 15.4 | 16.2 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 13.7 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | RB8 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 17.3 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 13.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 77% |
| Trade value | 24 | 45 |