Ashton JeantyorJavonte Williams?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Javonte Williams
Javonte Williams outscores Ashton Jeanty in 58% of simulations.
Ashton Jeanty still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Javonte Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Javonte Williams projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Javonte Williams faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs), Ashton Jeanty faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Javonte Williams wins 64%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 6.8
- Median
- 13.8
- Ceiling
- 25.2
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.3 | 15.0 |
| PPR projection | 15.4 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 13.9 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | RB7 |
| Matchup | at SF | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 15.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 14.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 74% |
| Trade value | 24 | 35 |