James CookorQuinshon Judkins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start James Cook
James Cook outscores Quinshon Judkins in 57% of simulations.
Quinshon Judkins still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so James Cook is the better bet, not a sure thing. James Cook projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Quinshon Judkins has the better matchup against the New York Jets (31% more than average to RBs); James Cook faces the Los Angeles Rams (17% fewer than average to RBs). James Cook still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, James Cook wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | James CookRB, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.9 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 14.4 |
| Standard projection | 14.1 | 11.2 |
| Rank this week | RB7 | RB11 |
| Matchup | at LAR | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.9 | 10.2 |
| Last season per game | 16.8 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 66% |
| Trade value | 55 | 12 |