Kenneth Walker IIIorRhamondre Stevenson?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 65% of simulations.

Rhamondre Stevenson still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so Kenneth Walker III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenneth Walker III projects 3.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the New York Jets (25% more than average to RBs); Kenneth Walker III faces the Los Angeles Chargers (9% fewer than average to RBs). Kenneth Walker III still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kenneth Walker III
Floor
7.0
Median
15.3
Ceiling
27.8
Big game (20+):
29%
Dud (under 6):
7%
Rhamondre Stevenson
Floor
3.3
Median
10.8
Ceiling
25.4
Big game (20+):
19%
Dud (under 6):
24%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ETRhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection16.413.2
PPR projection17.514.8
Standard projection15.311.7
Rank this weekRB6RB9
Matchupvs LACvs NYJ
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game26.010.7
Last season per game10.411.6
Snap share, last game75%71%
Trade value6220