Bucky IrvingorKenneth Walker III?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III outscores Bucky Irving in 64% of simulations.
Bucky Irving still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Kenneth Walker III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenneth Walker III projects 3.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Kenneth Walker III faces the Los Angeles Chargers (9% fewer than average to RBs), Bucky Irving faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (7% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 27.8
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.2 | 16.4 |
| PPR projection | 14.5 | 17.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.9 | 15.3 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB6 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 26.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 75% |
| Trade value | 35 | 62 |