Bucky IrvingorJonah Coleman?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving outscores Jonah Coleman in 56% of simulations.
Jonah Coleman still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Bucky Irving is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bucky Irving projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jonah Coleman has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (20% more than average to RBs); Bucky Irving faces the Chicago Bears (12% fewer than average to RBs). Bucky Irving still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET | Jonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.8 | 12.2 |
| PPR projection | 14.9 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 10.8 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB14 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.2 | 9.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 66% |
| Trade value | 36 | 8 |