Ashton JeantyorJonah Coleman?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Ashton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty outscores Jonah Coleman in 56% of simulations.
Jonah Coleman still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Ashton Jeanty is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ashton Jeanty projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jonah Coleman has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (20% more than average to RBs); Ashton Jeanty faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% more than average to RBs). Ashton Jeanty still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Jonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.3 | 12.2 |
| PPR projection | 15.4 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 10.8 |
| Rank this week | RB12 | RB16 |
| Matchup | at SF | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 9.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 66% |
| Trade value | 24 | 8 |