Breece HallorJosh Jacobs?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs outscores Breece Hall in 60% of simulations.

Breece Hall still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Josh Jacobs is the better bet, not a sure thing. These are their next games: Breece Hall in Week 8, Josh Jacobs in Week 9. Josh Jacobs projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Breece Hall has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); Josh Jacobs faces the New England Patriots (13% fewer than average to RBs). Josh Jacobs still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Breece Hall
Floor
4.5
Median
11.0
Ceiling
22.3
Big game (20+):
14%
Dud (under 6):
18%
Josh Jacobs
Floor
5.8
Median
13.2
Ceiling
25.3
Big game (20+):
21%
Dud (under 6):
11%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBreece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETJosh JacobsRB, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.614.6
PPR projection14.116.1
Standard projection11.213.1
Rank this weekRB15Not ranked
Matchupvs LVat NE
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.518.9
Last season per game11.914.6
Snap share, last game48%71%
Trade value1438