Bucky IrvingorKyle Monangai?

Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Bucky Irving

Bucky Irving outscores Kyle Monangai in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Monangai comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Bucky Irving, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 11.8 half-PPR points in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Bucky Irving faces the Dallas Cowboys (11% more than average to RBs), Kyle Monangai faces the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bucky Irving
Floor
5.5
Median
10.8
Ceiling
19.2
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
13%
Kyle Monangai
Floor
3.1
Median
10.1
Ceiling
23.0
Big game (20+):
15%
Dud (under 6):
27%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBucky IrvingRB, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ETKyle MonangaiRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.811.8
PPR projection13.412.4
Standard projection10.311.2
Rank this weekRB14RB15
Matchupat DALat GB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.214.2
Last season per game12.38.1
Snap share, last game59%54%
Trade value1615