Quinshon JudkinsorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Rhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson outscores Quinshon Judkins in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Quinshon Judkins comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Rhamondre Stevenson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rhamondre Stevenson projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (16% more than average to RBs); Quinshon Judkins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 20.1
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.1 | 11.6 |
| Standard projection | 7.9 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | RB24 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 51% | 52% |
| Trade value | 2 | — |