Rhamondre StevensonorRico Dowdle?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson outscores Rico Dowdle in 57% of simulations.
Rico Dowdle still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Rhamondre Stevenson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rhamondre Stevenson projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Rhamondre Stevenson faces the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to RBs), Rico Dowdle faces the Indianapolis Colts (2% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.3 | 10.6 |
| Standard projection | 9.7 | 8.4 |
| Rank this week | RB20 | RB24 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.3 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 66% | 26% |
| Trade value | 10 | — |