Bhayshul TutenorOmarion Hampton?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Bhayshul Tuten

Bhayshul Tuten outscores Omarion Hampton in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Omarion Hampton comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Bhayshul Tuten, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Omarion Hampton projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); Omarion Hampton faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bhayshul Tuten
Floor
3.2
Median
9.1
Ceiling
18.6
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
29%
Omarion Hampton
Floor
4.0
Median
9.1
Ceiling
17.6
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
24%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETOmarion HamptonRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.110.2
PPR projection10.811.2
Standard projection9.59.2
Rank this weekRB25RB23
Matchupat CINat SEA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.810.1
Last season per game5.613.3
Snap share, last game48%42%
Trade value—17