Omarion HamptonorTreVeyon Henderson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton outscores TreVeyon Henderson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: TreVeyon Henderson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Omarion Hampton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. TreVeyon Henderson projects 0.7 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. TreVeyon Henderson has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (16% more than average to RBs); Omarion Hampton faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to RBs). Omarion Hampton still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 21.4
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Omarion HamptonRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | TreVeyon HendersonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.2 | 10.9 |
| PPR projection | 11.2 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 9.2 | 10.1 |
| Rank this week | RB23 | RB20 |
| Matchup | at SEA | at BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 13.3 | 11.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | 37% |
| Trade value | 17 | 5 |