Aaron JonesorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Rhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson outscores Aaron Jones in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Aaron Jones comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Rhamondre Stevenson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rhamondre Stevenson projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Aaron Jones has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (14% more than average to RBs); Rhamondre Stevenson faces the Green Bay Packers (6% more than average to RBs). Rhamondre Stevenson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 22.9
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron JonesRB, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.1 | 12.0 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 13.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.9 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | RB19 | RB15 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.3 | 10.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | 13 |