Aaron JonesorBlake Corum?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Aaron Jones
Aaron Jones outscores Blake Corum in 57% of simulations.
Blake Corum still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Aaron Jones is the better bet, not a sure thing. Aaron Jones projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Aaron Jones faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs), Blake Corum faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron JonesRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Blake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 9.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | RB20 | RB24 |
| Matchup | at DET | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.2 | 9.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 25% | 44% |
| Trade value | 7 | — |