Aaron JonesorQuinshon Judkins?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins outscores Aaron Jones in 56% of simulations.
Aaron Jones still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Quinshon Judkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Quinshon Judkins projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Quinshon Judkins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (12% fewer than average to RBs), Aaron Jones faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 20.3
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron JonesRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.4 | 11.3 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 12.5 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 10.2 |
| Rank this week | RB20 | RB17 |
| Matchup | at DET | at PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.2 | 11.7 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 25% | 53% |
| Trade value | 7 | 21 |