Blake CorumorTony Pollard?

Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Tony Pollard

Tony Pollard outscores Blake Corum in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Blake Corum comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tony Pollard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Blake Corum projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Blake Corum has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (8% more than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Cleveland Browns (10% fewer than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Blake Corum
Floor
1.9
Median
6.7
Ceiling
17.1
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
46%
Tony Pollard
Floor
3.2
Median
7.5
Ceiling
14.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
36%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBlake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ETTony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.48.3
PPR projection9.09.0
Standard projection7.87.6
Rank this weekRB21RB22
Matchupat LVvs CLE
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.07.9
Last season per game7.010.0
Snap share, last game28%76%
Trade value—3