Josh JacobsorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs outscores Tony Pollard in 62% of simulations.
Tony Pollard still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Josh Jacobs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Jacobs projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Josh Jacobs has the better matchup against the Minnesota Vikings (12% fewer than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 13.2
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.7 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 16.2 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 13.2 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 15% | 82% |
| Trade value | 48 | 40 |