Blake CorumorChase Brown?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chase Brown
Chase Brown outscores Blake Corum in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Blake Corum comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Chase Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chase Brown projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Blake Corum has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs); Chase Brown faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (13% fewer than average to RBs). Chase Brown still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chase Brown wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Blake Corum is the pick at 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 20.1
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 18.0
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Blake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.6 | 12.9 |
| Standard projection | 9.8 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | RB21 | RB17 |
| Matchup | at ARI | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.0 | 10.2 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 36% | 63% |
| Trade value | — | 18 |