Audric EstiméorRico Dowdle?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Audric Estimé
Audric Estimé outscores Rico Dowdle in 55% of simulations.
Rico Dowdle still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Audric Estimé is the better bet, not a sure thing. Audric Estimé projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Audric Estimé faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs), Rico Dowdle faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% fewer than average to RBs). Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Audric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB26 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | at TB |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | — | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 26% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |