Audric EstiméorOllie Gordon II?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Audric Estimé
Audric Estimé outscores Ollie Gordon II in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ollie Gordon II comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Audric Estimé, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ollie Gordon II projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Ollie Gordon II has the better matchup against the New York Jets (21% more than average to RBs); Audric Estimé faces the Tennessee Titans (2% fewer than average to RBs). Audric Estimé still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Audric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 8.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 7.8 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB23 |
| Matchup | at TEN | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.9 | 11.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 3.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 30% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |