Chris Rodriguez Jr.orRachaad White?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Chris Rodriguez Jr. in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Rodriguez Jr. comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Rachaad White, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rachaad White projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); Rachaad White faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Rachaad White still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Rachaad White wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Chris Rodriguez Jr. is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.0 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 7.1 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | RB34 | RB31 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.4 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 21% | 43% |
| Trade value | — | — |