Braelon AllenorChris Rodriguez Jr.?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen outscores Chris Rodriguez Jr. in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Rodriguez Jr. comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Braelon Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Braelon Allen projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Braelon Allen faces the New England Patriots (11% fewer than average to RBs), Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Houston Texans (15% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 5.0
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 5.7 |
| PPR projection | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB33 |
| Matchup | at NE | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.2 | 4.9 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 7.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 12% |
| Trade value | — | — |