Braelon AllenorRico Dowdle?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen outscores Rico Dowdle in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rico Dowdle comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Braelon Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rico Dowdle projects 0.6 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); Rico Dowdle faces the Cleveland Browns (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.6 | 10.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.8 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB22 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.8 | 6.6 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 44% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |