Braelon AllenorJ.K. Dobbins?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean J.K. Dobbins
J.K. Dobbins outscores Braelon Allen in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Braelon Allen comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean J.K. Dobbins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. J.K. Dobbins projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); J.K. Dobbins faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). J.K. Dobbins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.6 | 9.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.8 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB23 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.8 | 7.7 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 11.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 23% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |