Braelon AllenorEmanuel Wilson?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen outscores Emanuel Wilson in 60% of simulations.
Emanuel Wilson still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Braelon Allen is the better bet, not a sure thing. Braelon Allen projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (17% more than average to RBs); Emanuel Wilson faces the Kansas City Chiefs (14% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 57%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Emanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 6.7 |
| Rank this week | RB27 | RB30 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 32% |
| Trade value | — | — |