Braelon AllenorJordan Mason?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen outscores Jordan Mason in 56% of simulations.

Jordan Mason still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Braelon Allen is the better bet, not a sure thing. Braelon Allen projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); Jordan Mason faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Braelon Allen
Floor
2.8
Median
7.5
Ceiling
15.9
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Jordan Mason
Floor
2.3
Median
6.6
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
45%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBraelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETJordan MasonRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.77.5
PPR projection9.67.8
Standard projection7.87.2
Rank this weekRB25RB31
Matchupvs LVat DET
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.89.3
Last season per game3.67.6
Snap share, last game78%64%
Trade value——