Jordan MasonorKenny Gainwell?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason outscores Kenny Gainwell in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kenny Gainwell comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jordan Mason, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenny Gainwell projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kenny Gainwell has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (4% more than average to RBs); Jordan Mason faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs). Jordan Mason still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Kenny Gainwell is the pick at 54%; in Standard leagues, Jordan Mason wins 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan MasonRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| PPR projection | 7.8 | 9.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 6.3 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB30 |
| Matchup | at DET | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.3 | 4.7 |
| Last season per game | 7.6 | 10.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 30% |
| Trade value | — | — |